One hundred experts from higher
education, K-12, and museum education identified “metatrends” and a road map of the
education-technology landscape that will influence education in the future at
the New Media Consortium’s Horizon Project.
The 10 most important trends
listed in the announcement include global adoption of mobile devices,
the rise of cloud computing, and transparency movements that call into question
traditional notions of content ownership concerning digital materials.
1. The world of work is increasingly global
and increasingly collaborative.
As
more and more companies move to the global marketplace, it is common for work
teams to span continents and time zones. Not only are teams geographically
diverse, they are also culturally diverse.
2. People expect to work, learn, socialize,
and play whenever and wherever they want to.
Increasingly,
people own more than one device, using a computer, smartphone, tablet, and
ereader. People now expect a seamless experience across all their devices.
3. The Internet is becoming a global mobile
network — and already is at its edges.
Mobithinking
reports there are now more than 6 billion active cell phone accounts. 1.2
billion have mobile broadband as well, and 85% of new devices can access the
mobile web.
4. The technologies we use are increasingly
cloud-based.
One
hour of video footage is uploaded every second to YouTube; over 250 million
photos are sent to Facebook every day.
5. Openness along with notions of
transparency and easy access to data and information — is moving from a trend
to a value for much of the world.
As
authoritative sources lose their importance, there is need for more curation
and other forms of validation to generate meaning in information and media.
6. Legal notions of ownership and privacy lag
behind the practices common in society.
In an
age where so much of our information, records, and digital content are in the
cloud, and often clouds in other legal jurisdictions, the very concept of
ownership is blurry.
7. Real challenges of access, efficiency, and
scale are redefining what we mean by quality and success.
Access
to learning in any form is a challenge in too many parts of the world, and
efficiency in learning systems and institutions is increasingly an expectation
of governments — but the need for solutions that scale often trumps them both.
Innovations in these areas are increasingly coming from unexpected parts of the
world, including India , China , and central Africa .
Read
about my New Teaching Manifesto that tries to bring creativity and thinking
skills into any classroom.
8. The Internet is constantly challenging us
to rethink learning and education, while refining our notion of literacy.
Institutions
must consider the unique value that each adds to a world in which information
is everywhere. In such a world, sense-making and the ability to assess the
credibility of information and media are paramount.
9. There is a rise in informal learning as
individual needs are redefining schools, universities, and training.
Traditional
authority is increasingly being challenged, not only politically and socially,
but also in academia — and worldwide. As a result, credibility, validity, and
control are all notions that are no longer givens when so much learning takes
place outside school systems. Read about Khanacademy’s
efforts with the flipped classroom and Edmodo,
the social network designed specially for learning.
10. Business models across the education
ecosystem are changing.
Libraries
are deeply re-imagining their missions;
colleges and universities are struggling to reduce costs across the board.
The educational ecosystem is shifting, and nowhere more so than in the world of
publishing, where efforts to re-imagine the book are having profound success,
with implications that will touch every aspect of the learning enterprise.
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